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# UEFA Champions League Round 4: With Two of The Best Match-ups So Far, Will There Be Goals Galore?
- URL: https://www.pitchsidedocket.com/uefa-champions-league-round-4-with/
- Published: 2025-11-04T00:09:01.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-12T00:06:08.000Z
- Author: Jason Figueiredo
- Tags: Tactics, From Substack

The UEFA Champions League rounds are coming at us fast, as this week’s match-ups mark the halfway point for the League Phase. Four of the top five teams at the top of the table square off in this round, and by the unluckiness of the draw, those two games are on the same day during the same window. With Real Madrid, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Paris SG all kicking off at the same time, it only makes sense to bet on them ALL!

**November 4th, 9:45 am (PST) window**

*Parlay: Aresnal – 3-way moneyline + Napoli/Frankfurt – BTTS-Y (-101)*

For the first leg of this UCL morning slate parlay, I have a hard time imagining a situation where the Gunners, in their current form, fail to take away three points against Slavia Praha. The second leg also feels like a foregone conclusion. However, in sports betting, that is how you jinx yourself to oblivion. With that said, Frankfurt has hit the BTTS-Y its last last three UCL games and Napoli is riding a two game BTTS-Y streak as well. While Napoli has kept a clean sheet in two straight Serie A matches, Frankfurt’s offense, averaging 2.2 goals over their last 10 games, will be a much more formidable squad to keep off the board.

**November 4th, 12:00 pm (PST) window**

*Parlay: Paris SG/Bayern Munich – BTTS-Y + Liverpool/Real Madrid – BTTS-Y (-137)*

These two matches are undoubtedly the most titillating of this betting window, and, quite possibly, the entire tournament thus far. The odds on these two bets as singles are quite astronomical, but for excellent reasons. Among this quartet, only Liverpool failed to score in all three first-round UCL matches, and that seemed like an outlier at the time. Yet, the curious thing about well-put-together teams is that their defenses often come up huge and stop a powerhouse offense. These teams have proven that over their last few head-to-heads, with BTTS-N hitting in all three. I expect at least four goals in these two games. Let’s keep our fingers crossed that they are spread out accordingly.

**November 5th, 9:45 am (PST) window**

*Qarabag/Chelsea – over 3.5 total goals (+128)*

Chelsea is coming off a game where they should have posted at least three goals against Tottenham, posting an absurd 3.68 xG but only one goal to show for it. All of that pented up xG is looking for a release against Qarabag. Both teams in this matchup have partaken in games that scored more than three goals in 66.6% of their games in this competition, and this one could take a similar track. While Chelsea’s defense has pitched two shutouts over their last two road battles, a clean sheet in this one is probably unlikely. However, don’t be surprised if Chelsea beats this total on their own.

**November 5th, 12:00 pm (PST) window**

*Benfica – 3-way moneyline (+107)*

Neither Benfica nor Bayer Leverkusen has won a game in their first three games of the Champions League. On the bright side for Leverkusen, they managed to scrape together two points to show for their troubles. Despite the woes for Benfica, this home encounter is a do-or-die situation, with their UCL lives in the balance. Failing to get three points is not an option for the Portuguese side, and I fully expect them to come out with something to prove. However, figuring out who can break their current UCL goal-scoring drought while managing to keep the streaking German side off the board should make this one a nail-biter throughout.

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