> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.pitchsidedocket.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # English Premier League Matchweek 28 Picks and Predictions - URL: https://www.pitchsidedocket.com/english-premier-league-matchweek-da4/ - Published: 2026-02-27T14:10:22.000Z - Updated: 2026-09-12T00:06:03.000Z - Author: Jason Figueiredo - Tags: Betting Only five points separate Arsenal and Manchester City at the top of the English Premier League table, with the Gunners seemingly finding an elixir to their woes last weekend in the form of a laughable Spurs side. However, Man City’s game in hand theoretically makes this a two-point spread, piling on the pressure for their upcoming EPL showdown on April 18th that could decide it all. After this weekend’s London derby, though, things could get even tighter if the league leaders aren’t careful. On the other end of the table, every team in the midst of a relegation battle squares off against a formidable foe that is favored to take at least a point from the match. But, ideally one of these teams can muster an upset, helping clear up which teams truly have the best odds of joining the Wolves on a journey to the Championship. Let’s jump into this week’s games to see who has the best chances of coming out of this weekend alive and where we can profit from it! --- ### 2/27| 12:00 - Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa #### *Bet: Aston Villa 3-Way Moneyline (-115)* Although the home team in this head-to-head has captured all three points in four straight, if Villa wants to be taken seriously as a true candidate for a Europe spot, this is a must win. Villa is desperately searching for an identity after failing to string together back-to-back wins for several months now. Ten points from the top but six points from missing a Europe spot, this game could be a huge turning point in their season. Unai Emery may have to perform a little magic though, as Villa hasn’t taken all three points from Wolves in the West Midlands since 2020. --- ### 2/28| 04:30 - AFC Bournemouth v. Sunderland #### *Bet: Total Goals under 2.5 (+100)* While Sunderland is averaging 1.0 goals per game over their last 10 overall, and 0.5 goals per game over their last 10 road games, both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 games. Keeping Bournemouth from covering this total alone will probably the most concerning aspect of this wager, as they were able to notch 3 against Liverpool, Newcastle, and Tottenham since 1/1\. Despite that, this feels like a defensive struggle till the end. --- ### 2/28| 07:00 - Burnley v. Brentford #### *Bet: Brentford under 1.5 goals (-110)* Burnley managed to stop a 6-game streak of giving up 2+ goals last week against Chelsea, while the Bees haven’t scored over 1.5 in six of their last seven, currently riding 3 straight games with one or less goal and also failing to accomplish this task in six over their last seven. The away team in this head-to-head has also failed to score more than one goal in three straight, making this a tantalizing bet that should have a good chance of hitting. --- ### 2/28| 07:00 - Liverpool v. West Ham United #### *Bet: Total Corners over 10.5 corners (-130)* Over the past 10, both teams reached this mark 70% of the time. Additionally, their last two EPL head-to-head matchups comfortably surpassed this total. Since late October, Liverpool has averaged 6.73 corners at home, while West Ham has become accustomed to giving up an average of 7.67 on the road during that span. After a flat performance last time out, the Reds need a huge bounce-back game, and playing forceful, front-footed football seems in order, meaning corners galore in this one. --- ### 2/28| 07:00 - Newcastle United v. Everton #### *Bet: Both Teams to Score – No (+101)* Newcastle loves to score, but also can’t seem to stop their opponent from doing the same. Over the Magpies’ last ten games, both teams have scored in nine. This is probably making you wonder why take this side. Over the last five head-to-heads, BTTS-Y only hit 40% of the time, with a clean sheet being held by at least one team in two of the last three at St. James’ Park. There is value here if you look super closely……Try squinting. --- ### 2/28| 09:30 - Leeds United v. Manchester City #### *Bet: Parlay – Both Teams To Score Yes + Man City 3-Way Moneyline (+198)* Man City’s title push began several weeks ago, and games like this one are the ones they need to impose that treble swagger they have built up over the past half-decade. A win by itself pays back only a fraction of your wager, so why not spice it up for this last game of the day by parlaying it with the BTTS-Y side? This matchup was a goalfest last time out, but I don’t expect the same this time. However, I don’t think Man City can keep a clean sheet, either, as they have only done this four times over the last 10 games, against rather suspect offenses. --- ### 3/01| 06:00 - Manchester United v. Crystal Palace #### *Bet: Bryan Mbeumo Shots on Target over 1.5 (+165)* Mbeumo sends screamers towards the net on a regular basis, hitting the target 1.44 times per 90 minutes. Crystal Palace let the lowly Wolves accumulate seven shots on target last week, a number they have also given up recently to Sunderland and Newcastle, both games on the road. Mbeumo wriggled his way into four touches in the box and two shots on target last time out against Palace, and it’s not outlandish to think he can do it again, especially when you consider the downgrade in form of Oliver Glasner’s side since that November bout. --- ### 3/01| 06:00 - Fulham v. Tottenham Hotspur #### *Bet: Fulham 3-Way Moneyline (+110)* As a Spurs supporter, handing out this bet is more of a hope that my jinx at the very least gets Igor Tudor his first points as the interim skipper. In reality, this is probably a great bet. Spurs are downright awful lately, with no signs of improvement or of willingness to listen to the coach yelling from the tactical box to push up. Oh well, if your team can’t win, then maybe make some money off of them. Fulham is riding a two-game winning streak and are perfomring better than Spurs in almost every important category. Once this one is over, the Spurs will be so deep into a relegation battle that finding a way out may be too much for any coaching staff to handle. --- ### 3/01| 06:00 - Brighton & Hove Albion v. Nottingham Forest #### *Bet: Total Cards under 3.5 (+105)* When these two square off, cards seem to be what sets the tempo, as this duel has hit over 3.5 in four of its last five. However, Forest has been much less aggressive since the end of January, only collecting 4 cards total over their last four games. Additionally, last time out, this bout seemed much more tame, with only one card being shown. These recent trend leans toward fewer cards this time, despite a more distant history that would suggest otherwise. --- ### 3/01| 08:30 - Arsenal v. Chelsea #### *Bet: Total Corners under 9.5 (-115)* Winning corners hasn’t really been either team’s vibe over their past couple of matches. The corners total has failed to reach double digits in five of Arsenal’s last six matches across all competitions, while Chelsea has also struggled to win the backline battle on the road as of late, managing to only win 3.8 corners when away from the friendly confines of home. Head-to-head, this tussle has also been short on corners in recent outings, reaching over 10 in only one of this derby’s last five. When you don’t want to root for either team, bet corners… --- ##### *English Premier League Picks (W-D-L)* · Matchweek 9: [2-0-4](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek) · Matchweek 10: [3-0-3](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-218) · Matchweek 11: [2-1-3](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-48b) · Matchweek 12: [2-2-2](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-02a) · Matchweek 16: [3-0-3](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-ac3) · Matchweek 17: [4-0-2](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-87b) · Matchweek 25: [4-0-2](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-1e8?r=55vgl1) · Matchweek 26: [2-1-7](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/premier-league-matchweek-26-picks) · Matchweek 27: [4-0-6](https://theinvertedfig.substack.com/p/english-premier-league-matchweek-a06?r=55vgl1) *Overall Record: 26-4-32* Thanks for reading! 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